holds all of those carry states from 2004 and adds new mexico, then wins nevada, colorado and iowa, which are very possible because of hispanics in the west, obama could win nevada and colorado. and then hold iowa, maybe lose ohio, lose virginia, lose florida, could do all of those and still narrowly win. >> okay. let's go to mitt romney. what he needs to get to 270 in the big way. >> so the obvious one for mitt romney is to sweep the big three. if he sweeps 40i, virginia and florida, it's all three of those, he could lose colorado, lose nevada, lose new hampshire, lose wisconsin, lose all of those states, and he would still win, he would get there very narrowly but he would be over 270. >> okay. so you get flohva from mitt romney. but you also have a scenario that he can still win if he takes florida, only. >> yeah. it's a little complicated. but i went back to look and see, can he win with just winning one of those or just two of those three? no question, he could win with two of those three. but if he were to win with just florida, for example, he would have to do it by sweeping